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本港今年首季GDP按年增長7.8％ 遠超預期
04 May 2021


政府統計處公布，根據預先估計數字，今年第一季本地生產總值較上年同期實質上升7.8%，而去年第四季則下跌2.8%。本地生產總值在今年第一季錄得較大升幅，主要是由於季內對外貿易表現強勁，以及去年比較基數較低。

政府發言人表示，香港經濟在今年第一季明顯復蘇，終止對上連續6個季度的按年收縮。經濟在第一季急速反彈，主要反映在內地和美國帶動的環球經濟復蘇下，貨物出口的增長非常強勁。根據預先估計數字，實質本地生產總值在今年第一季重拾7.8%的可觀按年增長，上一季則收縮2.8%。經季節性調整後按季比較，實質本地生產總值在第一季顯著上升5.3%，較上一季0.5%的升幅明顯加快。


圖片來源：網絡

然而，經濟復蘇並不平均，整體經濟活動仍低於衰退前的水平，原因是疫情及社交距離要求繼續打擊個別經濟環節，特別是涉及面向消費者的活動。此外，旅遊業仍然低迷。社會需不遺餘力令疫情受控及確保疫苗接種計劃取得成功，為達致全面經濟復蘇及逐步恢復國際出行創造條件。

隨着環球貿易及生產活動顯著復蘇，香港整體貨物出口飆升。服務輸出的跌幅明顯收窄，儘管在嚴格的出行限制下，訪港旅遊業仍然停頓。本地方面，私人消費開支即使在比較基數極低的情況下僅輕微增長，原因是外訪旅遊嚴重受阻，以及本地第四波疫情干擾消費活動。勞工市場情況嚴峻亦影響消費氣氛。同時，整體投資開支持續溫和增長。


圖片來源：網絡

由內地和美國帶動的環球經濟復蘇，在短期內應有利香港的貨物出口。服務輸出也應改善，儘管鑑於世界多地的疫情仍然嚴峻，與旅遊相關活動的恢復料將緩慢。中美關係和地緣政治緊張局勢等其他風險因素亦值得關注。本地方面，若本地疫情繼續受控，在政府多項紓緩措施和環球經濟情況好轉的支持下，營商及消費信心可望在今年較後時間更全面地改善。政府會密切留意情況。

資料來源：星島日報

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